First of all sorry for late posting. On 19th May I was invited to discuss election results on GTPL and Nirmaan channels. For almost 4 hours I discussed various points which are as following:
1. Congress Mukta Bharat is happening and will continue as there is no hope they will win in Punjab, UP and Gujarat.
2. Congress have actually main three factions- Sonia Gandhi, Rahul Gandhi and Priyanka Gandhi.
3. It is very amazing that the mother Sonia Gandhi who advised son Rahul Gandhi that power is poison is not ready to pass power and she has not pass power in alien hands but to her own son. Probably for two reasons. One she is extremely power greedy. or either she knows what will happen if power goes in hand of Rahul G.
4. BJP says it wants Congress (i.e. Gandhi family) Mukta Bharat but it will not be in interest of party. BJP wins where Congress is its straight competitor.
5. In Assam, there are so many factors which contributed to BJP victory- giving free hand to local leadership, raising local issues, land deal with Bangladesh, Bangladeshi intruders issue and in 2012.
6. As BJP wont like to link DIlli and Bihar assembly elections with Modi govt performance, similarly, it cant give credit Modi govt for Assam victory.
7. BJP can now claim that they have pan Bharat presence. In north, they are in gov in J-K, in west they have Guj-Rajasthan-Punjab, in east they have Assam, in south they had Karnataka and now one MLA elected in Kerala.
8. It is not proper to say that BJP won in only one state. Actually till 2016 it had no significant presence in any of five states.
9. These elections will have major impact on 2019 elections and it will make Modi govt working smooth because in Tamilnadu Modi is having good relations with J. Jayalalitha in compare to DMK plus Cong. Similarly goes with Mamata in compare to Leftists plus Cong. On 11th June, Rajya sabha elections are going to be held. These results will impact Rajya sabha elections.
10. In third front there will be tight race between Mamata and Nitish.
11. State level issues most matter in state elections.
12. Voters now seem to want stability. They will give another chance to party where they have no option. They will forgive some scam or other issues like they did it with Mamatadidi and forgot Flyover mishap, Sharada scam and other things. But they will give max 15 years. After then they will not tolerate that government.
13. It is not proper to say it is women empowerment with victory of Mamata and Jayalalitha. I said, personally I don't like women empowerment word because in Bharat women were never weaker section. If it is not so, we had not seen Jhansi Rani Lakshmibai and Indira Gandhi. Till today most developed and superpower US has no female president elected. Even women had no voting power for so many years.
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